Pemodelan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) Menggunakan Analisis Regresi Probit

Studi Kasus: Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) di Pulau Kalimantan Tahun 2017

  • Santo Christyadi Laboratorium Statistika Ekonomi dan Bisnis FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman
  • Andi M Ade Satriya Laboratorium Statistika Ekonomi dan Bisnis FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman
  • Rito Goejantoro Laboratorium Statistika Komputasi FMIPA Universitas Mulawarman

Abstract

Ordinal probit regression analysis is non-linear regression analysis that used to find affected independent variables for ordered categorical dependent variable and regression model in this analysis used Normal cumulative distribution function. Parameter estimation in this model used Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) method. This model has been applied to Human Development Index (HDI) in Borneo Island in 2017 case study. HDI is the most important measurement in improving the human development quality in all cities/regencies in Indonesia. Some factors that affected to IPM, they are Life Expectancy (X1), School Expectancy (X2), Spending per Capita (X3), Average School Duration (X4), and Labour Force Participation Rate (X5). Based on research that was performed by researcher, resulted two factors affecting to HDI, those are Life Expetancy and Average School Duration. This model has classification accuracy of 89,29%, APER (Apparent Error Rate) value of 10,71%, and AIC (Akaike Information Criterion) value of 39,75; this model was very good because prediction value is almost approaching to observation value (actual value).

Published
2021-01-19
How to Cite
CHRISTYADI, Santo; SATRIYA, Andi M Ade; GOEJANTORO, Rito. Pemodelan Indeks Pembangunan Manusia (IPM) Menggunakan Analisis Regresi Probit. JURNAL EKSPONENSIAL, [S.l.], v. 11, n. 2, p. 181-188, jan. 2021. ISSN 2085-7829. Available at: <http://jurnal.fmipa.unmul.ac.id/index.php/exponensial/article/view/662>. Date accessed: 23 june 2021.